Platform technologies are the foundational building blocks that serve as springboards for a vast array of new products, services, and industries. These technologies, which include artificial intelligence (AI), space exploration, robotics, vertical farming, quantum computing, brain-computer interfaces (BCIs), nanotechnology, biotechnology, and genomics, are transformative forces with the potential to revolutionise entire sectors of society.

The fusion of these groundbreaking technologies holds immeasurable potential for advancing humanity, from revolutionising healthcare and agriculture to unlocking the secrets of the universe. AI is poised to redefine the boundaries of human capability, while space technologies and exploration are set to expand the frontiers of human knowledge and possibility. Vertical farming will provide a solution to the growing food crisis, and quantum computing will unlock the power of quantum mechanics. BCIs will bridge the gap between mind and machine, and nanotechnology and advanced materials will revolutionise the future of materials science. Biotechnology and genomics will pave the way for lifespans of 150 years or more.

However, this great leap forward also comes with profound ethical, social, and existential risks that we must proactively address. In this History Future Now article, we will uncover valuable insights that can help us navigate the uncharted territories ahead. We will explore the transformative impact that the convergence of platform technologies could have on our economy, social interactions, governance, and the environment. We will also examine the potential divergence between technological development on Earth and in space, with space-based communities serving as testbeds for more advanced and less restricted applications.

Throughout this piece, we will draw upon the lessons learned from previous technological revolutions to inform our understanding of the present and guide us through the uncharted territories of a world where platform technologies converge to reshape the human experience.

Finally, there is also a very practical angle to this article. Imagine if you had known in advance the industries that would transform our society and our economy. This article will show you which are the future platform technologies to pay attention to.

Let's get started.

Part 1. Platform Technologies: Transformative Innovations Shaping the Future

Platform technologies are the foundational building blocks that underpin the development of a vast array of new products, services, and industries. These versatile and adaptable technologies have the potential to reshape entire sectors of society, driving disruptive innovations that fundamentally alter the way we live, work, and interact with the world around us.

Throughout history, platform technologies have emerged as catalysts for profound societal transformation. Five relatively recent examples that have left an indelible mark on the fabric of modern society are electricity, the automobile, the telephone, the computer, and the birth control pill.

Electricity, harnessed and distributed on a wide scale in the late 19th century, has been a fundamental enabler of the modern world, powering homes, factories, and cities, and serving as the foundation for countless other technologies. The automobile, invented in the late 19th century, has transformed transportation, commerce, and urban planning, providing people with unparalleled personal mobility and enabling the growth of cities and suburbs. The telephone, another transformative platform technology of the late 19th century, has revolutionized long-distance communication, creating new industries and shaping social norms. The computer, which first emerged in the mid-20th century, has revolutionized the way we process, store, and communicate information, transforming virtually every industry and enabling the development of groundbreaking technologies such as the internet.

The birth control pill, introduced in the 1960s, highlights a key point that some technologies can be simple yet have an enormous impact. It has empowered women to take control of their reproductive health, contributing to a dramatic shift in social norms, gender roles, and women's participation in the workforce.

What sets platform technologies apart is their ability to serve as the foundation upon which other innovations can be built. They are not standalone innovations but rather enablers of a wide range of new possibilities. Moreover, platform technologies often converge and build upon one another, amplifying their transformative potential.

As we look to the future, a new wave of platform technologies is emerging, each with the potential to drive profound societal transformation on a scale that rivals or even surpasses that of their predecessors. These include artificial intelligence, space exploration, robotics, vertical farming, quantum computing, brain-computer interfaces, nanotechnology, biotechnology, and genomics. Like the platform technologies of the past, these emerging technologies are part of a complex and interconnected ecosystem, building upon and reinforcing each other to create new possibilities and disrupt existing industries.

Part 2. Future Platform Technologies

1. Artificial Intelligence: Reshaping the Landscape of Human Capability and Potential

Artificial intelligence (AI) is emerging as a transformative force that has the potential to reshape the very fabric of our society and redefine the boundaries of human capability. AI involves the development of intelligent machines and software capable of performing tasks that typically require human intelligence, such as visual perception, speech recognition, decision-making, and language translation.

AI is arguably the core platform technology that will underpin all the others, with its usefulness being on par with electricity and computing. It is a critical enabler of many other emerging technologies, such as advanced robotics, space exploration, and brain-computer interfaces. In the field of humanoid robots, AI will play a crucial role in enabling these machines to perceive, learn, and interact with their environment in increasingly sophisticated ways, transforming the future of work and society.

The potential impact of AI is vast and far-reaching, with implications that could transform virtually every industry and sector. In healthcare, AI could revolutionize the way we diagnose and treat diseases, enabling earlier and more accurate detection, personalized treatment plans, and improved patient outcomes. In education, AI could unlock new frontiers in personalized learning, adaptive assessments, and intelligent tutoring systems. In transportation, AI will pave the way for autonomous vehicles, intelligent traffic management systems, and optimized logistics networks. In manufacturing, AI will drive unprecedented gains in quality control, predictive maintenance, and supply chain optimization.

Unexpectedly, AI has also shown remarkable success in creative areas once thought to be the sole domain of humans. AI-generated films, TV shows, advertising, art, music, and novels are becoming increasingly sophisticated and indistinguishable from human-created content. While this development opens up exciting possibilities for increased human creativity, it also poses a threat to jobs in these fields. As AI-generated content floods the market, human creators may struggle to have their voices heard and maintain their livelihoods.

However, the rise of AI also raises profound ethical and existential questions that we must grapple with as a society. Some AI researchers and philosophers have expressed grave concerns about the potential for advanced AI systems to pose an existential threat to humanity, particularly if they become sophisticated enough to bypass human control and pursue goals misaligned with human values.

Addressing these challenges will require proactive efforts to ensure that the development and deployment of AI systems are guided by principles of fairness, transparency, and accountability. Despite these challenges and risks, the potential benefits of AI are immense, and the technology is advancing at an unprecedented pace. As we continue to push the boundaries of what is possible with AI, it is essential that we do so with a deep sense of responsibility and a commitment to ensuring that the technology is developed and used in ways that benefit humanity as a whole.

2. Space Technologies and Exploration: Expanding the Frontiers of Human Knowledge and Possibility

As humanity stands at the threshold of a new era in space technologies and exploration, we are witnessing a transformative shift driven by the groundbreaking innovations of companies like SpaceX. By dramatically reducing the cost of accessing space through reusable rockets such as the Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy, SpaceX has opened up a world of possibilities for scientific discovery, economic growth, and human expansion beyond Earth.

The impact of SpaceX's achievements cannot be overstated. With the successful development and deployment of reusable rocket technology, the company has significantly lowered the barriers to entry for space exploration and commercialisation. Experts anticipate that once Starship begins commercial operations, the cost of sending cargo to orbit could drop to levels comparable to airfreight rates for shipping goods from Shanghai to London. This dramatic reduction in space access costs has the potential to unlock a vast array of new industries and opportunities that were previously unimaginable.

One of the most exciting developments enabled by reduced space access costs is the growth of space tourism. As the cost of launching people into space decreases, companies like SpaceX, Virgin Galactic, and Blue Origin are poised to offer suborbital and orbital flights to paying customers, allowing them to experience the thrill of spaceflight and witness the beauty of Earth from above. This new industry has the potential to inspire a new generation of space enthusiasts and drive further innovation in space technologies.

In addition to tourism, low Earth orbit is also becoming a critical gateway for missions to the Moon, Mars, and beyond. With the ability to access space more affordably and frequently, space agencies and private companies can now establish a sustained presence in low Earth orbit, using it as a staging ground for deep space exploration. This could involve the construction of orbiting space stations, fuel depots, and other infrastructure that would support long-duration missions to the Moon and Mars, paving the way for permanent human settlement beyond Earth.

Another promising prospect is the emergence of asteroid mining. With the ability to access space at greatly reduced costs, companies could begin to prospect and extract valuable resources from asteroids, such as rare earth metals, water, and other minerals. These resources could be used to support in-space manufacturing and construction, as well as brought back to Earth to supplement dwindling supplies. Asteroid mining has the potential to revolutionise the global economy and provide a new source of wealth and resources for humanity.

Space is also becoming an attractive location for conducting work that is deemed too dangerous or controversial to be carried out on Earth, such as genetic engineering. The unique environment of space, with its reduced gravity, increased radiation exposure, and isolation from Earth's biosphere, could provide an ideal setting for researchers to push the boundaries of science and technology without the same level of risk or regulatory oversight. This could lead to groundbreaking advancements in fields such as biotechnology, medicine, and materials science.

The transformative impact of reduced space access costs extends beyond just economic opportunities. By lowering the barriers to space exploration, we can expand the frontiers of human knowledge and understanding, deepening our insights into the origins and evolution of the universe, the search for extraterrestrial life, and the potential for human settlement beyond Earth.

This new era of space technologies and exploration represents a watershed moment in human history. By opening up new frontiers for exploration, discovery, and economic growth, this breakthrough has the potential to reshape our world and our future in ways we are only beginning to imagine. As we continue to push the boundaries of what is possible in space, it is crucial that we do so with a sense of responsibility, international cooperation, and a commitment to using these technologies for the benefit of all humanity.

3. Humanoid Robots: Shaping the Future of Work and Society

Humanoid robots have the potential to revolutionise not only the way we work but also the way we live. By combining advanced artificial intelligence, sophisticated sensors, and highly dexterous mechanical systems, these robots are poised to serve as a foundation for a wide range of applications and innovations that will extend far beyond the traditional confines of industrial settings.

The development of humanoid robots builds upon and integrates several other key platform technologies, such as artificial intelligence, advanced materials, and high-performance computing. AI algorithms enable humanoid robots to perceive their environment, make decisions, and learn from their experiences, while advanced materials and manufacturing techniques allow for the creation of lightweight, strong, and flexible components that mimic human physiology.

The integration of these platform technologies in humanoid robots opens up a vast array of potential applications that will transform industries and our daily lives. In manufacturing and logistics, humanoid robots like Figure.ai's Figure 01 and Tesla's Optimus could work alongside human employees, taking on repetitive or dangerous tasks and adapting to changing workflows.

In our homes, humanoid robots could become ubiquitous helpers, taking on tasks such as home maintenance, furniture assembly, cooking, and cleaning. They could also provide companionship and emotional support, engaging in conversation, providing entertainment, and offering basic medical advice and assistance.

The potential applications of humanoid robots in healthcare are particularly promising. They could assist with personalised care and support in hospitals and clinics, as well as home-based care, helping patients with mobility issues or chronic conditions to maintain their independence.

As humanoid robots become more advanced and integrated into our daily lives, they will also raise important ethical and societal questions. The widespread adoption of these robots could have significant implications for employment, privacy, and security. There are also concerns about the impact of humanoid robots on human social interactions and the potential for them to be used for intimate companionship, raising complex moral and philosophical questions.

Despite these challenges, the potential benefits of humanoid robots are immense, and their development as a platform technology is likely to accelerate in the coming years. As they become more affordable, reliable, and capable, these robots will increasingly become a part of our daily lives, transforming the way we work, live, and interact with the world around us.

4. Vertical Farming: A Solution to the Growing Food Crisis

As the world's population continues to grow, with projections indicating a global population of nearly 10 billion by 2050, the demand for food is set to increase dramatically. Compounding this challenge is the rapid expansion of the middle class, particularly in developing countries, which is associated with higher consumption of resource-intensive foods such as meat and dairy products. Simultaneously, the availability of arable land and freshwater resources is declining due to urbanisation, land degradation, and unsustainable agricultural practices. Climate change further exacerbates this problem, as rising temperatures, changing precipitation patterns, and more frequent extreme weather events disrupt traditional agricultural systems and reduce crop yields. The combined effects of population growth, changing consumption patterns, resource scarcity, and climate change create a perfect storm that threatens to undermine global food security and sustainability.

Vertical farming, an innovative agricultural method that involves growing crops in vertically stacked layers within a controlled indoor environment, offers a promising solution to help address these challenges. This platform technology can be used to grow a wide variety of crops, ranging from salad greens and herbs to fruits like strawberries and even staple crops such as rice, wheat, and protein-rich plants like soy and peas. By growing crops indoors in a controlled environment, vertical farms can achieve higher yields with significantly less land, water, and fertiliser compared to conventional farms. For example, UK based vertical farming company, Fischer Farms, has shown that it can grow wheat using 25 times less land and salads using 250 times less land than comparable outdoor grown crops. They also consume about 5% of the water and 7.5 times less fertiliser than traditional farms.

Vertical farming has the potential to revolutionise agriculture and address many of the challenges associated with traditional farming methods. It can be compared to previous transformative agricultural technologies such as mechanisation, irrigation, and the Green Revolution, which greatly increased agricultural productivity, efficiency, and sustainability. Like these previous technologies, vertical farming has the potential to transform agriculture by increasing productivity, efficiency, and sustainability.

Despite the potential benefits, the widespread adoption of vertical farming faces several challenges, including high initial capital costs, energy requirements for lighting and climate control, and the need for specialized skills and knowledge to operate and maintain the systems.

However, several factors are driving down the costs of vertical farming, making it increasingly competitive with traditional agriculture. Advances in LED lighting efficiency, declining renewable energy costs, and automation are streamlining the labor-intensive tasks involved in indoor farming, reducing costs and improving efficiency. As these trends continue, it is likely that vertical farming will become economically viable for a wider range of crops, including staples such as rice, wheat, peas, and soy.

Vertical farming represents a promising platform technology that can help address the growing challenges of food security and sustainability in an increasingly populated, urbanised, and resource-constrained world. By enabling efficient, local production of a wide range of crops, vertical farming can help fill the gap between food demand and supply, while also reducing the environmental impact of agriculture and improving access to fresh, healthy food. As the technology continues to advance and become more cost-effective, vertical farming has the potential to play a crucial role in feeding the world's population in the face of climate change and resource scarcity.

5. Quantum Computing: Unlocking the Power of Quantum Mechanics

Quantum computing is emerging as a revolutionary technology that promises to transform the way we solve complex problems and drive innovation across multiple industries. By harnessing the principles of quantum mechanics, quantum computers have the potential to perform certain calculations much faster than classical computers, opening up new possibilities for breakthroughs in fields such as cryptography, drug discovery, materials science, and optimisation.

At its core, quantum computing represents a paradigm shift in computing. While classical computers use bits that can only be in one of two states (0 or 1), quantum computers use quantum bits, or qubits, which can exist in multiple states simultaneously through a property known as superposition. This unique capability allows quantum computers to perform complex computations that are currently intractable for classical computers.

The potential impact of quantum computing is vast and far-reaching. In cryptography, quantum computers could break current encryption methods but also help develop new, more secure ones. In drug discovery, quantum computing could accelerate the development of new medicines by simulating complex molecular systems. Quantum optimisation algorithms could help solve complex problems in logistics, finance, and energy distribution, while quantum machine learning could lead to more powerful AI systems.

Quantum computing can be considered a platform technology, as it could enable a wide range of applications across multiple industries, similar to how the transistor and the internet served as platforms for countless innovations and new markets.

The development of quantum computing can be compared to previous transformative technologies that have reshaped computing and society, such as the transition from vacuum tubes to transistors and the introduction of integrated circuits, which revolutionised computing and laid the foundation for modern computers and electronic devices.

Despite the immense potential of quantum computing, its development faces numerous technical and engineering challenges, including maintaining the delicate quantum states of qubits and developing new algorithms and software for quantum computers. However, governments, academic institutions, and major technology companies are heavily investing in quantum computing research and development, working to overcome these challenges.

As with any transformative technology, the development and deployment of quantum computing also raise important ethical and societal questions, such as the impact on privacy, security, and the distribution of benefits and risks, which must be carefully considered and proactively managed.

6. Brain-Computer Interfaces: Bridging the Gap Between Mind and Machine

Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) are emerging as a transformative technology that has the potential to revolutionise the way we communicate, learn, and work. By enabling direct communication between the brain and external devices, BCIs represent a new frontier in technology that could unlock unprecedented possibilities for human augmentation and empowerment.

At their core, BCIs work by measuring brain activity, typically using electrodes placed on the scalp or implanted directly into the brain, and translating that activity into commands or actions that can be executed by a computer or other device. This direct connection between the brain and external systems opens up a world of possibilities for new forms of communication, control, and augmentation.

The potential impact of BCIs is vast and far-reaching. In the medical field, BCIs could provide a lifeline for people with severe motor disabilities, enabling them to regain the ability to communicate and control their environment. BCIs could also pave the way for new assistive technologies, such as robotic prosthetics controlled directly by the user's thoughts.

Beyond medical applications, BCIs have the potential to transform the way we interact with technology in our daily lives. They could usher in a new era of hands-free control, making technology more intuitive and accessible. In the future, BCIs could even enable direct brain-to-brain communication, opening up new frontiers for collaboration and social interaction.

In addition to communication and control, BCIs also have the potential to enhance human cognitive abilities. By providing a direct link between the brain and external information systems, BCIs could enable faster learning, improved memory recall, and enhanced problem-solving skills. However, the use of BCIs for cognitive enhancement raises important ethical questions about fairness, accessibility, and the potential for widening societal inequalities.

The development of BCIs can be compared to the rise of the personal computer and the smartphone, which revolutionised the way we interact with technology and each other. Just as the smartphone made technology more seamlessly integrated with our daily lives, BCIs could make technology more intimately connected with our thoughts and intentions.

However, BCIs also represent a more direct and potentially invasive form of human-machine interaction than any previous technology. The ethical implications of directly connecting the brain to external devices, particularly those that require surgical implantation, must be carefully considered. Issues of privacy, security, autonomy, and the long-term effects on brain function and mental health will need to be addressed as the technology advances.

Despite these challenges, researchers, companies, and governments around the world are investing heavily in BCI research and development, recognising the immense potential of this technology to transform medicine, education, work, and daily life. As BCIs continue to advance and become more widely adopted, it will be crucial to ensure that their development and use are guided by ethical principles that prioritise human well-being, autonomy, and dignity.

7. Nanotechnology and Advanced Materials: Revolutionising the Future of Materials Science

Nanotechnology and advanced materials are emerging as transformative technologies that have the potential to revolutionise the way we create, manipulate, and utilise materials. By enabling the precise control and manipulation of matter at the atomic and molecular level, these technologies open up a world of possibilities for the development of materials and devices with unprecedented properties and capabilities.

One of the most exciting applications of nanotechnology is in the field of medicine. Researchers are developing targeted drug delivery systems using nanoparticles that can selectively bind to cancer cells, delivering therapeutic agents while minimising side effects on healthy tissue. Nanorobots are another promising area of research, with the potential to perform precise surgical procedures, monitor health conditions from within the body, and even assist in the repair of damaged tissues and organs.

In the realm of energy, nanotechnology is paving the way for more efficient and sustainable solutions. Nanostructured solar cells, for example, can capture a wider spectrum of light and convert it into electricity more efficiently than traditional solar panels. Nanomaterials are also being used to develop high-capacity batteries and supercapacitors that can store and release energy more quickly and efficiently, which could revolutionise the electric vehicle industry and support the transition to renewable energy sources.

The potential of nanotechnology extends to environmental applications as well. Nanomaterials can be used to create highly effective water filtration systems, capable of removing pollutants and contaminants at the molecular level. In agriculture, nanosensors can monitor soil conditions and crop health in real-time, enabling farmers to optimise irrigation and fertilisation while minimising environmental impacts.

Advanced materials, such as graphene and other two-dimensional materials, are also poised to transform a wide range of industries. With its exceptional strength, lightness, and conductivity, graphene has the potential to revolutionise fields such as electronics, aerospace, and construction. Other advanced materials, such as self-healing polymers and shape-memory alloys, could lead to the development of more durable and adaptable structures and devices.

As we continue to explore the vast potential of nanotechnology and advanced materials, it is important to address the challenges and risks associated with these technologies. Ensuring the safety and biocompatibility of nanomaterials, particularly in medical applications, is a critical concern. The long-term environmental impacts of nanomaterials must also be carefully studied and managed to prevent unintended consequences.

Despite these challenges, the future of nanotechnology and advanced materials is incredibly promising. As we unlock the secrets of matter at the nanoscale, we open up a world of possibilities for creating materials and devices with unprecedented properties and capabilities. From targeted cancer treatments and sustainable energy solutions to smart materials and environmental remediation, the applications of these technologies are limited only by our imagination and ingenuity. By harnessing the power of nanotechnology and advanced materials responsibly and ethically, we have the potential to transform our world in ways that were once the stuff of science fiction.

8. Biotechnology and Genomics: Unlocking the Secrets of Life and Longevity

Biotechnology and genomics are emerging as transformative technologies that have the potential to revolutionise healthcare, agriculture, and environmental science. By enabling the precise modification and engineering of biological systems at the molecular level, these technologies open up a world of possibilities for solving some of the world's most pressing challenges, including the quest for longevity and the prospect of a 150-year human lifespan. The social implications of some people living to 150-years old in a healthy state are enormous and would be on a scale that could arguably exceed the impact of the birth control pill in the 1960s.

At their core, biotechnology and genomics involve the study and manipulation of living organisms and their genetic material. Biotechnology encompasses a wide range of techniques and applications, from the development of new drugs and therapies to the production of genetically modified crops and industrial chemicals. Genomics, on the other hand, focuses on the study of an organism's entire genome, including the mapping, sequencing, and analysis of its DNA.

The potential impact of biotechnology and genomics on longevity is vast and far-reaching. These technologies could pave the way for personalised medicine, where treatments are tailored to an individual's unique genetic profile. This could lead to more effective and targeted therapies for age-related diseases, such as cancer, Alzheimer's, and cardiovascular disorders, ultimately extending healthspan and lifespan.

Biotechnology companies like Calico and AgeX Therapeutics are exploring the potential of gene therapy to slow down the aging process and extend healthspan. Stem cell research, pursued by companies such as Unity Biotechnology and Turn.bio, holds the potential to regenerate damaged tissues and organs, promoting healthy aging and extending lifespan. Additionally, the application of artificial intelligence and machine learning in analysing vast amounts of biological data could accelerate the discovery and development of therapies for age-related diseases.

The implications of a 150-year human lifespan, enabled by advances in biotechnology and genomics, are profound and far-reaching. A dramatically extended lifespan would require us to rethink our approaches to work, education, family, health, and aging. It would demand new models of social organisation and support, as well as innovative solutions to the environmental and resource challenges posed by a growing and longer-living population.

Furthermore, the psychological and philosophical implications of radical longevity are significant. A 150-year lifespan would challenge us to find new sources of meaning and purpose, to cultivate resilience and adaptability in the face of change, and to grapple with deep questions about the nature of the human experience and our place in the world.

Despite the incredible potential of biotechnology and genomics in extending human lifespan, their development and deployment also face significant challenges. From a technical standpoint, the complexity and variability of biological systems can make it difficult to predict the effects of genetic modifications, requiring extensive research and testing to ensure safety and efficacy. Robust safety and regulatory frameworks are also necessary to ensure that biotechnology products are developed and used responsibly, particularly when it comes to the acceptable limits of genetic modification in humans.

One of the most pressing concerns surrounding advances in biotechnology and genomics is the potential for these technologies to be misused or deliberately weaponised to create new diseases designed to harm or kill people. The relative affordability of the equipment and materials needed for this kind of work, combined with the increasing accessibility of genetic information, makes the risk of such nefarious applications even greater. The spectre of genetically engineered pathogens, tailored to target specific populations or designed to resist existing treatments, looms large as a potential existential threat to humanity. Addressing this risk will require a concerted effort by the international community to develop robust biosecurity measures, strengthen global health surveillance systems, and foster a culture of responsible innovation in the biotechnology and genomics fields.

Ethical challenges abound in the field of biotechnology and genomics, particularly when it comes to the equitable distribution of longevity-enhancing technologies and the potential for creating a society divided by vastly different lifespans. Questions also arise about the long-term societal and environmental impacts of a dramatically extended human lifespan.

From a societal perspective, public trust and understanding of biotechnology and genomics are crucial for their widespread acceptance and adoption. There are concerns about the equitable distribution of the benefits and risks associated with these technologies, particularly in developing countries and poorer communities.

Despite these challenges, governments, academic institutions, and companies around the world are heavily investing in biotechnology and genomics research and development, recognising the immense potential of these technologies to drive innovation, economic growth, and social progress.

Part 3: The Convergence of Platform Technologies and Their Impact on Humanity

The convergence of various platform technologies, such as AI, space technologies, robotics, vertical farming, quantum computing, brain-computer interfaces, nanotechnology, biotechnology, and genomics, is poised to usher in a new era of unprecedented innovation and human advancement. This technological convergence promises to reshape virtually every aspect of our lives, from healthcare and agriculture to space exploration and computing. However, it is crucial that we also acknowledge and proactively address the significant challenges and potential backlash that may arise, ensuring that the benefits of these technologies are widely shared and their risks are carefully mitigated.

The Interplay of Platform Technologies

At the heart of this technological convergence lies a complex web of interconnected platform technologies, each building upon and enabling the others. AI, for instance, is rapidly emerging as the driving force behind advancements across various fields, revolutionising space exploration, drug discovery, and materials science. Nanotechnology and advanced materials, in turn, provide the foundation for breakthroughs in computing, AI, biotechnology, and space exploration, enabling faster, more efficient, and more precise technologies.

Biotechnology and genomics are on the cusp of transforming healthcare and human performance through personalised medicine, gene editing, and engineered crops, while also raising important ethical questions about the boundaries of human intervention in the natural world. Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) are blurring the lines between the biological and the digital, with potential applications in medicine, education, and entertainment, but also risks related to privacy and autonomy.

Meanwhile, space technologies and exploration are both benefiting from and enabling advancements in AI, nanotechnology, and biotechnology, opening up new frontiers for research and development that could have profound implications for life on Earth and beyond. Vertical farming, another critical platform technology, is set to revolutionise agriculture and play a vital role in the establishment of communities in low Earth orbit, on the Moon, and on Mars.

The Future of Humanity in a Convergent Technological Landscape

As these platform technologies continue to converge and evolve, they will undoubtedly reshape the future of humanity in countless ways. The world of work and the economy will be transformed by the automation of tasks, the creation of new job opportunities, and the emergence of entirely new industries. However, this transformation may also exacerbate existing inequalities and lead to job displacement, necessitating proactive measures to ensure a just and inclusive transition.

Social interactions and relationships will also be reshaped by AI-powered technologies, providing new forms of support and connection, but also raising concerns about privacy, manipulation, and the potential for social polarisation. Governance and policymaking will need to adapt to the rapid pace and global scale of technological convergence, requiring agile approaches, international cooperation, and a strong focus on issues of equity and inclusion.

The environmental impact of technological convergence is complex, with the potential to both mitigate and exacerbate sustainability challenges. While some technologies, such as vertical farming and renewable energy, could help address pressing environmental issues, others may contribute to resource depletion and waste. Navigating this complexity will require a proactive and integrated approach to technology development and deployment, prioritising sustainability and long-term planetary health.

Challenges, Risks, and Potential Backlash

We must also be mindful of the significant challenges, risks, and potential backlash that may arise. Ethical concerns and unintended consequences, such as algorithmic bias, existential risks posed by advanced AI and biotechnologies, and the misuse of powerful technologies, could lead to public distrust and resistance, undermining the benefits of these advancements.

Privacy, security, and autonomy concerns in an increasingly interconnected world could spark a backlash against ubiquitous data collection and surveillance, leading to calls for stronger regulations and alternative technologies. The pace and complexity of technological change could generate fear, uncertainty, and a sense of powerlessness among the public, fuelling a broader backlash against technology and globalisation.

Rising inequality and the concentration of benefits from technological convergence could exacerbate social tensions and lead to demands for redistribution, regulation, or even a halt to certain technological developments. Concerns about the loss of human agency, authenticity, and meaning in a world increasingly shaped by AI and other technologies could spark a cultural and philosophical backlash, with some rejecting the technologically-driven future in favour of a return to more traditional values and ways of life.

Part 4: The Long-Term Impact of Platform Technologies over the Next 100 Years

So let’s now look at how these various platform technologies will change humanity over the next 100 years. Prediction over a long time scale is naturally problematic. We typically think that change will take place faster than it actually does but in the long term we can see that the transformations were even more profound than we originally expected.

We have split the next part into 20 year chunks. As time passes some of these changes will be increasingly likely but also increasingly difficult to imagine.

2024-2044: The Dawn of a New Era

As we embark on the next two decades, the convergence of platform technologies will begin to reshape the fabric of our society, economy, and environment. AI, robotics, and automation will experience rapid growth, leading to significant job displacement and the need for new skills and education. New industries and business models based on platform technologies, such as personalised medicine, space-based manufacturing, and vertical farming, will emerge, while income inequality may widen as the benefits of technological advancements concentrate among a small group of individuals and corporations.

Technological advancements will be marked by significant progress in AI, quantum computing, and space technologies. The establishment of a small-scale lunar base and the first human missions to Mars will capture the world's imagination. However, growing concerns about privacy, security, and the ethical implications of platform technologies will lead to calls for stronger regulations and oversight.

In the realm of society, the increasing use of brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) for medical purposes and early adoption in gaming and entertainment will begin to blur the lines between the biological and the digital. Longevity research will gain momentum, with advancements in gene therapy, stem cell research, and AI-driven drug discovery showing promise for extending healthspans.

As the world grapples with declining fertility rates and aging populations in developed economies, increased migration will be seen as a potential solution to address labor shortages and demographic challenges. However, the economic and social outcomes of migration will vary depending on the host country's policies and the migrants' origins and skill levels.

Vertical farming will begin to gain traction, with a focus on growing salads, herbs, and fruiting plants like strawberries in controlled indoor environments. These early adopters will pave the way for the broader adoption of vertical farming technologies in the coming decades.

Geopolitically, the world will witness shifting global power dynamics as G7 countries experience population decline and economic challenges, while emerging economies with younger populations gain influence. Competition for skilled migrants among developed countries will intensify as they seek to address labor shortages and maintain economic growth.

2044-2064: The Age of Transformation

In the following two decades, the world will undergo a profound transformation as platform technologies reach new heights. The widespread adoption of universal basic income will emerge as a response to technological unemployment, while the rise of a global, decentralised economy based on blockchain and other distributed ledger technologies will reshape financial systems.

The growth of the space economy will accelerate, with the establishment of small-scale resource extraction and manufacturing facilities on the Moon and in Earth's orbit. The development of advanced AI systems with greater than human-level intelligence will raise concerns about their potential impact on society and the economy, while nanotechnology and advanced materials will find widespread use in manufacturing, medicine, and environmental remediation.

Significant progress in biotechnology and genomics will lead to the development of personalised treatments for various diseases and the creation of genetically modified crops resistant to climate change. However, growing public distrust and backlash against platform technologies may lead to social and political unrest in some regions.

The increasing use of BCIs for cognitive enhancement and direct communication will further blur the lines between human and machine. Longevity research will gain momentum, with the development of targeted therapies for age-related diseases and the emergence of a growing "longevity industry."

Vertical farming will experience significant growth, with an increasing shift towards growing staple crops like rice, wheat, soy, and peas in massive vertical farms powered by low-cost renewable energy. This will have a profound impact on land use, as more marginal farmland is gradually rewilded and repurposed for other uses.

Many platform technologies, particularly those with direct impacts on people and work, may face restrictions and regulations on Earth. However, the development and deployment of these technologies are likely to be more rapid and extensive in space, where there is less regulation and a greater need for advanced solutions to support human settlement and exploration. Advanced AI, robotics, and gene editing are expected to play a significant role in space colonisation efforts, as they can help overcome the challenges of limited human resources and harsh environmental conditions.

Demographic challenges will persist, with some countries facing significant population aging and fiscal strains, while social tensions and political polarisation around issues of migration, automation, and economic inequality will intensify.

Geopolitically, the world will experience further shifts in global power as emerging economies gain influence and G7 countries grapple with demographic and economic challenges. International cooperation and competition in space will increase as nations seek to establish a presence on the Moon and exploit space-based resources.

2064-2084: The Rise of the Post-Scarcity Era

As we enter the second half of the 21st century, the world will witness the emergence of a post-scarcity economy, driven by abundant resources and energy provided by advanced technologies and small-scale space-based infrastructure. A shift towards a more sustainable and circular economy will be propelled by advancements in biotechnology and nanotechnology, while space-based industries, such as asteroid mining and microgravity manufacturing, will gain economic importance.

The development of superintelligent AI systems will offer the potential to solve complex global problems but also pose existential risks to humanity. Advanced robotics and automation will lead to the near-complete displacement of human labor in many industries, while advancements in space technologies will enable more efficient travel within the solar system and the establishment of small-scale settlements on Mars.

Society will grapple with intensifying debates over the governance of platform technologies and the distribution of their benefits. New social and cultural norms will emerge, shaped by the increasing integration of technology into daily life. Evidence of longevity advancements will begin to emerge, with some individuals born in the early 21st century showing signs of extended healthspans and lifespans.

Vertical farming will become a dominant form of agriculture, with the majority of staple crops being grown in massive, resource-efficient indoor farms. This will lead to a significant reduction in the environmental impact of agriculture, as well as increased food security and resilience to climate change. Vertical farming technologies will also play a critical role in the establishment of self-sustaining communities in low Earth orbit, on the Moon, and on Mars.

The divergence between technological developments on Earth and in space will become more pronounced, with space-based settlements serving as testbeds for more advanced and less restricted applications of platform technologies. AI, robotics, and biotechnology will be crucial in supporting the growth and sustainability of these settlements, as they can help optimise resource utilisation, maintain infrastructure, and enhance human health and performance in the challenging conditions of space.

As space colonies grow in population, economic significance, and cultural distinctiveness, they may begin to seek greater autonomy in decision-making while still maintaining close ties with Earth. This could involve the establishment of more localised governance structures and the negotiation of agreements with Earth-based governments to ensure fair representation and mutual benefits.

Demographic challenges will persist, with most countries facing population decline and aging, while others experience population growth and youth bulges. Growing social and political tensions around issues of technological unemployment, inequality, and the role of migration in aging societies will mark this period.

Geopolitically, nations will vie for control over space-based resources and strategic advantages in AI and other advanced technologies, leading to increased competition and potential conflicts. Countries with younger, growing populations will gain economic and political influence relative to aging, shrinking G7 nations.

2084-2104: The Dawn of the Cosmic Era

As the 21st century draws to a close, the increasing importance of the space-based economy will be marked by asteroid mining and orbital manufacturing playing a significant role. The blurring of lines between the digital and physical economies will accelerate with the widespread adoption of virtual and augmented reality technologies, while intellectual property and digital assets will gain growing importance in the global economy.

The development of advanced AI systems capable of recursive self-improvement will raise concerns about the potential for an intelligence explosion and the need for robust control mechanisms. Significant advancements in the field of mind uploading and digital immortality will allow for the preservation of human consciousness beyond biological death, while progress in space technologies will enable more comfortable living conditions in small-scale settlements on the Moon and Mars.

New forms of governance and social organisation will emerge, adapted to the challenges and opportunities of a technologically advanced society with a growing presence in space. The intensifying debate over the rights and status of sentient AI systems and genetically modified or technologically enhanced humans will shape the social and political landscape.

Longevity advancements will become more pronounced, with a growing number of centenarians and supercentenarians, and the potential for 150-year lifespans will begin to seem more plausible. The continued demographic divergence between countries experiencing population growth and those facing the challenges of shrinking, aging societies will pose new challenges and opportunities.

Vertical farming will be an essential component of space colonies, providing a reliable and sustainable source of food for inhabitants. Advancements in vertical farming technologies, combined with space-based solar power and other renewable energy sources, will enable the expansion of human settlements beyond Earth.

The gap between the pace and scope of technological development on Earth and in space will continue to widen, with space-based communities pushing the boundaries of what is possible in terms of AI, robotics, biotechnology, and other platform technologies. These advancements will not only support the growth and resilience of space settlements but also have the potential to flow back to Earth, driving innovation and progress in various sectors.

As space colonies mature and their populations grow, the drive for increased autonomy and self-governance will intensify. Drawing on historical examples such as the United States and the British Empire, space colonies may begin to advocate for greater independence in decision-making and resource management. This could involve the negotiation of new power-sharing arrangements and the establishment of more formalised governance structures that balance the interests of space colonies with those of Earth-based governments.

Geopolitically, nations will compete for dominance in space and control over advanced technologies, leading to growing tensions and potential for conflict. Countries that have managed to harness the benefits of advanced technologies and maintain demographic dynamism will gain influence relative to those grappling with the challenges of aging and technological disruption.

2104-2124: The Era of Cosmic Expansion

As we venture into the 22nd century, the world will witness the emergence of a radically transformed global economy, characterised by the seamless integration of advanced AI and platform technologies into every aspect of life. A shift towards a more equitable and sustainable resource allocation system will be driven by advanced technologies enabling the efficient distribution of goods and services on Earth and in space, while the growing importance of space-based industries and the expansion of settlements on the Moon, Mars, and beyond will mark this era.

The development of advanced technologies for space habitation, resource utilisation, and propulsion will enable the growth of thriving communities on the Moon and Mars, while breakthroughs in fields such as quantum computing, artificial general intelligence, and programmable matter will revolutionise industries and reshape the fabric of society. Significant advancements in the field of quantum communication will enable secure and instantaneous transmission of information across vast distances, connecting Earth and its space-based settlements like never before.

Society will witness the emergence of new forms of consciousness and intelligence, blurring the lines between biological and artificial life. An intensifying debate over the governance of advanced technologies, the preservation of human values, and the definition of "humanity" in an age of radical technological change will shape the social and political discourse.

The impact of longevity advancements will become more evident, with a significant increase in the number of people living beyond 150 years, bringing the societal, economic, and philosophical implications of radical life extension to the forefront of public discourse.

Vertical farming will be a cornerstone of space-based settlements, providing a reliable and sustainable source of food for a growing population beyond Earth. The integration of vertical farming with other advanced technologies, such as AI, robotics, and biotechnology, will enable the creation of highly efficient, self-sustaining ecosystems that support human life in the harsh conditions of space.

The contrast between the rapid technological advancements in space and the more regulated and restricted development on Earth will become starker. Space-based communities may serve as laboratories for experimenting with novel forms of social organisation, governance, and economic systems, leveraging the unique opportunities and challenges presented by the space environment and the advanced capabilities of platform technologies.

As space colonies grow in size, complexity, and self-sufficiency, the question of their political status and relationship with Earth will become increasingly pressing. Some colonies may seek greater autonomy and even full independence, while others may opt for a more federated structure that balances local decision-making with the benefits of maintaining close ties to Earth. The negotiation of these relationships will likely involve a complex interplay of economic, political, and cultural factors, as Earth-based governments and space colonies navigate the challenges of an expanding human civilisation.

On Earth, demographic challenges will reach a critical point, with many countries experiencing significant population declines due to persistently low fertility rates. This demographic shift will have profound implications for economic growth, social stability, and the viability of smaller communities. Advanced robotics and AI may play a crucial role in mitigating some of the economic impacts of population decline, by automating various tasks and services and supporting the maintenance of infrastructure in depopulated areas. The combination of population decline and technological advancements may lead to the abandonment of smaller villages and towns, as people concentrate in larger urban centres or migrate to space-based settlements.

Geopolitically, nations will intensify their competition and potentially engage in conflicts as they seek to assert control over critical space-based resources and advanced technologies. The shifting global power dynamics will see countries that have successfully navigated the challenges of technological disruption and demographic change emerge as dominant players, while those that have struggled to adapt face increasing instability and decline. The establishment of international frameworks for cooperation and conflict resolution in space will become increasingly critical to maintaining peace and stability in an era of rapid cosmic expansion.

Conclusion

The next 100 years will bring about transformative changes in every aspect of our lives. From the economy and society to geopolitics and the environment, the interplay of these technologies will present both immense opportunities and daunting challenges. Some History Future Now readers will be excited by this future. Others will recoil in horror. Either way, many of these changes are inevitable.

Vertical farming, in particular, will play a pivotal role in shaping the future of agriculture, land use, and space exploration. As this technology evolves from its early focus on salads, herbs, and fruiting plants to the large-scale cultivation of staple crops, it will revolutionise the way we produce food, reduce the environmental impact of agriculture, and enable the establishment of human settlements beyond Earth.

The divergence between technological development on Earth and in space will be a defining feature of the coming century, with space-based communities serving as testbeds for more advanced and less restricted applications of platform technologies. This divergence may lead to new forms of social, economic, and political organisation, as well as debates over the governance and ethics of these technologies.

On Earth, demographic shifts, particularly population decline in most countries, will present significant challenges and opportunities. Advanced technologies, such as AI and robotics, may help mitigate some of the economic impacts of these shifts, while also contributing to changes in land use and settlement patterns.

As space colonies mature and their aspirations for greater autonomy and self-determination grow, the relationship between these settlements and Earth-based governments will become increasingly complex. Navigating this new landscape will require a delicate balance of cooperation and compromise, as all parties work to establish a stable and mutually beneficial framework for an expanding human presence in the cosmos.

To successfully navigate this uncharted territory, we must adopt proactive and collaborative approaches to technology governance and innovation, bringing together diverse stakeholders to anticipate and address the complex issues that arise. Fostering public understanding, trust, and engagement with converging technologies will be essential to building broad-based support for responsible innovation, while directing the development and deployment of technologies towards the greater good will help ensure that the benefits are widely shared. But while these are things that we must do, it is unlikely that we will get agreement to do so on a planetary basis. The Covid 19 pandemic showed how governments could impose their will on billions of people, but also showed that the next time this is attempted there will be greater resistance and less consensus.

Ultimately, the success of nations and societies in navigating the challenges of the next 100 years will depend on their ability to adapt to change, invest in human capital and social cohesion, and harness the power of innovation and collaboration to build a more prosperous, equitable, and sustainable future for all, both on Earth and beyond.

In the meantime, you should start researching which companies are doing pioneering work in these platform technologies so you can invest in them. After all, whether you like it or not, this future is going to happen and so you will be far better off being one of the haves, rather than one of the have nots