Issue 16

20 February 2026

5 articles · 72 min total reading time
Part 2: Global Balance of Power

The Elephant Awakens: Why India's Rise Will Reshape the World More Than China's Did

India surpassed China as the world's most populous country in 2023 and landed on the Moon for less than the budget of a Hollywood film. It has 600 million people under 25, a democr…

12 min read 5 charts
Part 4: Society

The Empty Throne: Why the West No Longer Believes in Its Own Institutions

Trust in government, media, science, and the judiciary is at historic lows across the Western world. This is not a passing mood. It is a pattern that preceded every major civilisat…

17 min read 4 charts
Part 1: Natural Resources

The Last Drop: Why Every Civilisation That Ran Out of Water Collapsed

Water is the one resource for which there is no substitute. Every major civilisation was built on water management — Mesopotamia's canals, Egypt's Nile, Rome's aqueducts. And every…

16 min read 4 charts
Part 4: Society

The Invisible Judge: Why Guilt and Shame Societies Are Incompatible

Guilt societies are ruled by an internal judge; shame societies by the eye of the crowd. The difference shapes corruption, rule of law, and how civilisations understand each other…

12 min read 3 charts Audio
Part 4: Society

When the Servants Are Silicon: What History's Leisure Classes Reveal About the AI Age

Robots are not stealing jobs. They are replacing the unborn. When the Shadow Workforce handles survival, eight billion people become an aristocracy. Athens used that freedom to inv…

15 min read 4 charts Audio
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