Issue 15

March 2026

14 articles · 175 min total reading time
Society

What Worked: Five Thousand Years of Evidence for How Civilisations Flourish

Most political positions are argued from ideology. History Future Now's are argued from evidence. Five thousand years of civilisational data — from Sumer to Singapore — points cons…

13 min read 5 charts Audio
Natural Resources

The New Oil: Why the Race for Critical Minerals Will Define the 21st Century

China banned gallium and germanium exports in 2023 and most Western policymakers had never heard of either element. The energy transition depends on minerals most people cannot nam…

10 min read 3 charts Audio
Society

The Great Divergence: Why Young Men and Women No Longer See the Same World

Young women have moved sharply more liberal across the developed world. Young men have not — or have moved more conservative. The gap is historically unprecedented. The political a…

10 min read 3 charts Audio
Natural Resources

The Atom Returns: Why the World's Most Feared Energy Source Is Its Best Hope

Microsoft signed a deal to restart Three Mile Island for AI power. France generates 70% of its electricity from nuclear at half Germany's carbon intensity. China is building 150 re…

10 min read 3 charts Audio
Jobs & Economy

The Debasement: Why Every Great Power That Borrowed Its Way to Greatness Borrowed Its Way to Ruin

The US spent more on interest payments than on defence in 2024 for the first time in history. Spain defaulted six times between 1557 and 1647. France's debt triggered the Revolutio…

11 min read 4 charts Audio
Society

The Locked Gate: How the West Priced Its Children Out of Existence

The average house in England costs 7.7 times the median salary. In Seoul, a young couple saves for 18 years to buy a flat. Every city with extreme housing costs has a fertility rat…

10 min read 4 charts Audio
Global Balance of Power

The Ladder and the Lie: Why Every Great Economy Was Built on Tariffs and Free Trade Only Serves the Already Dominant

Every great economy in history was built behind tariff walls. Britain, America, Germany, Japan, South Korea, China — all protected domestic industry while it grew, then preached fr…

12 min read 4 charts Audio
Society

The Price of Admission: What the Netherlands and Denmark Reveal About the True Cost of Immigration

The Netherlands and Denmark are the two best-documented case studies on the fiscal and social costs of immigration in Europe. Both are small, wealthy, high-trust welfare states wit…

10 min read 4 charts Audio
Society

Why the Scissors Opened: Nine Hypotheses for the Gender Ideology Split

The gender ideology gap runs 15 to 50 points across the developed world — yet it does not exist in the Middle East, India, Sub-Saharan Africa, or Indonesia. African women have the…

25 min read 6 charts Audio
Society

The Narrow Lens: How What Britain Teaches Its Children Shapes How Adults See the World

Britain teaches its children a remarkably narrow slice of history — the Tudors, the World Wars, and the Holocaust — and then wonders why adults reach for the same historical analog…

12 min read Audio
Society

The Useful Idiots: Why Every Alliance Between the Left and Islamism Ends the Same Way

In February 2026, the Green Party overturned a century of Labour dominance in Manchester's Gorton and Denton by-election by courting a Muslim voting bloc. The Greens are unequivoca…

12 min read 5 charts Audio
Jobs & Economy

The Fifteen-Minute Factory: Why Proximity Still Wins

Innovation has always clustered where the distance between thinking and making approaches zero. From Florence's silk workshops to Shenzhen's electronics bazaars, the pattern is inv…

13 min read 4 charts
Jobs & Economy

The Eighteen-Month Trap: Why Hardware Startups Are Structurally Slow

A software founder builds one thing. A hardware founder builds two — the product and the entire infrastructure to make it. That structural double burden, not bad management, is why…

13 min read 5 charts Audio
Jobs & Economy

The Arsenal and the Container: How Shared Infrastructure Always Wins

Every era produces the same pattern: fragmented, bespoke, expensive production transformed by shared infrastructure that democratises access to speed and scale. Venice's Arsenale,…

14 min read 4 charts Audio
← Issue 14

By Tristan Fischer. A lifelong fascination with history, science, and technology led to a simple observation: the deeper you understand how the past unfolded, the more clearly you can see the future. These essays trace historical patterns and technological trajectories to work out what comes next.

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