History Future Now

Data-driven analysis of the structural forces — demographic, technological, economic —
that will shape the next century.


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Recently published analysis across all sections.

New Part 2

The Great Offshoring: How the World's Factory Moved East

In a single generation, the West gave away the industrial monopoly it had held for two centuries. From the rust belts of the Midlands to the boomtowns of Guangd…

Read article → 12 min · 4 charts · Audio
New Part 3

The New Literacy: How AI Is Killing The Scribes And What Happens Next

For five thousand years, if you could not write, you hired a scribe. If you could not code, you hired a developer. AI has just made everyone literate in the dig…

Read article → 15 min · 5 charts · Audio
New Part 4

When the Servants Are Silicon: What History's Leisure Classes Reveal About the AI Age

Robots are not stealing jobs. They are replacing the unborn. When the Shadow Workforce handles survival, eight billion people become an aristocracy. Athens used…

Read article → 15 min · 4 charts · Audio
New Part 4

A Nation Transformed: Britain's Demographic Revolution, 1948–2050

Britain has undergone one of the most rapid peacetime demographic transformations in European history. It was not planned. It emerged from a sequence of policy…

Read article → 13 min · 6 charts · Audio
New Part 4

The Invisible Judge: Why Guilt and Shame Societies Are Incompatible

Guilt societies are ruled by an internal judge; shame societies by the eye of the crowd. The difference shapes corruption, rule of law, and how civilisations un…

Read article → 12 min · 3 charts · Audio
New Part 4

The Builders Are Dying: How the Populations That Made the Modern World Are Disappearing — And What Happens Next

Between them, European and East Asian civilisations built virtually everything that defines the modern world — the scientific method, industrial manufacturing,…

Read article → 17 min · 9 charts · Audio
New Part 4

The Empty Cradle Bargain: Why Falling Birth Rates Are Everyone's Problem

On a single street in a Western city, five families have one child and two have two. That is nine children where fifteen are needed. Some chose this. Some wante…

Read article → 21 min · 6 charts · Audio
New Part 4

The Gates of Nations: How Every Civilisation in History Controlled Immigration — Until the West Stopped

For five thousand years, every successful civilisation tightly controlled who could enter, settle, and become a citizen. Then, in the space of a single generati…

Read article → 12 min · 3 charts · Audio
New Part 4

The Death Of The Fourth Estate: What The Collapse Of Newspapers Means For Democracy, Power, And Truth

On February 4th 2026, a Washington Post reporter in a warzone in Ukraine learned by text message that she had been laid off. Nearly half the newsroom was gone i…

Read article → 20 min · 4 charts · Audio
New Part 4

The Great Emptying: How Collapsing Birth Rates Will Reshape Power, Politics And People

In a small town in southern Italy, a school closed last year. Not because of budget cuts. Because there were no children left. That empty classroom is the futur…

Read article → 12 min · 10 charts · Audio
The Big Picture

Who Runs the World Economy?

Western dominance was a 200-year anomaly. The world is reverting to the historical mean.

Source: Maddison Project, IMF · Read the full analysis →

67Articles
158Interactive Charts
15+Hours of Analysis
500Years of History
67Audio Articles

Listen to History

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Data Stories

Every article backed by interactive data visualisations. Explore the numbers behind history.

From 1 in 3 births to 1 in 15 — builder populations vanishing

The Builders Are Dying: How the Populations That Made the Modern World Are Disappearing — And What Happens Next →

Foreign-born populations tripled since 1970

The Gates of Nations: How Every Civilisation in History Controlled Immigration — Until the West Stopped →

€800 billion: Europe rearming at unprecedented speed

Europe Rearms: Why The Continent That Invented Total War Is Spending €800 Billion On Defence →

US newspaper jobs down 80% since 1990

The Death Of The Fourth Estate: What The Collapse Of Newspapers Means For Democracy, Power, And Truth →

No country has recovered from sub-1.5 fertility

The Great Emptying: How Collapsing Birth Rates Will Reshape Power, Politics And People →

Manufacturing fell from 30% to 11% of US GDP

The Return of the State Factory: Why Nations That Forgot How To Make Things Are Remembering →

US federal regulations grew 18x since 1950

Who Guards The Guards? Bureaucracy, Empire, And The Eternal Struggle To Control The State →

Launch costs fell from $54,500 to $200/kg

The Scramble For The Solar System: Why The Next Colonial Race Has Already Begun →

India made 78,500 content removal requests in 2024

The Silence Of The Scribes: How Every Civilisation That Controlled Speech Collapsed →

South Korea: 0.72 children per woman

Let's Talk About Sex: Does The Separation Of Pleasure And Procreation Mean The End Of People? →

Taiwan makes 63% of the world's advanced chips

Why China Could Invade Taiwan – And Get Away With It →

60+ revolutions in 350 years

What Does It Take To Get Europeans To Have A Revolution? →

Solar costs fell 99% in 40 years

The renewables and battery revolution. What history teaches us about the future. →

Western dominance was a 200-year anomaly

The Rise of the West Was Based on Luck. That Has Run Out. →

Nearly half of Soviet men aged 18-30 were killed in WW2

The Unintended Consequences of War: How the Loss of Young Men Transformed Women's Roles in Society and ushered in the Welfare State →

COVID accelerated deglobalisation by a decade

The Long Term Impact of Covid 19 →

North Africa will outnumber Southern Europe by 2030

The North African Threat And Mediterranean Reunification →

Human life expectancy: from 30 to 150 years

The 150 Year Life: How Radical Longevity Will Transform Our World →

Robot costs falling below human labour

Robotics And Slavery →

By 2100, Africa will have 4 billion people

History Is Written By The Winners. And Europeans Are Losing. →

A loaf of bread cost 3 billion Marks by 1923

Debt Jubilees And Hyperinflation – Why History Shows That This Might Be The Way Forward For Us All →

Japan's Workforce Gap: Who Does the Work When the Workers Are Gone?

When the Servants Are Silicon: What History's Leisure Classes Reveal About the AI Age →

White British Share of Population, England and Wales, 1961–2061

A Nation Transformed: Britain's Demographic Revolution, 1948–2050 →

The Great Crossover: G7 vs Emerging Asia Share of Global Manufacturing

The Great Offshoring: How the World's Factory Moved East →

Hofstede Individualism Score by Country (Proxy for Guilt vs. Shame Orientation)

The Invisible Judge: Why Guilt and Shame Societies Are Incompatible →

The Arithmetic of Extinction

The Empty Cradle Bargain: Why Falling Birth Rates Are Everyone's Problem →

Global Literacy Rates Over Five Thousand Years

The New Literacy: How AI Is Killing The Scribes And What Happens Next →

Fertility Rates vs Robot Density: The Two Paths

The Robot Bargain: How AI Will Save Ageing Nations From The Immigration Trap →

Interest Rates and Asset Bubbles

Keynes And Hayek Are Both Dead, And Wrong →

Foreign-Born Population in European Countries

What The History Of Immigration Teaches Us About Europe’s Future →

Vertical Farming vs Conventional Agriculture

Vertical Farming: The Electrical Convergence of Power, Transport and Agriculture →

UK Farm Income: Subsidy Dependence

Hinkley Point Decision Is Really About China And Brexit →

Colonial Powers Through History

China Has Many Of The Characteristics Of An Emerging Colonial Power. How Does It Compare Historically? →

The Food Gap: Production Capacity vs Population

Dealing With The Consequences Of Climate Change Inaction: The Impact Of Food →

Foreign Land Acquisitions in Africa

Why Land Deals In Africa Could Make The Great Irish Famine A Minor Event →

Winners and Losers of the Energy Transition

Who Are The Losers In The Energy Revolution? →

Global Military Spending vs Energy Trade Value

Why Do We Need The Military? Securing Energy Supplies And Trade Routes →

Sector Employment Shifts: 250 Years

Where Are All The Jobs Going? Lessons From The First Industrial Revolution. And 150 Years Of Pain. →

The Paradox: Immigration Rising as Robot Capability Increases

The Paradox of Mass Migration and Robots in the Age of Automation →

Lifecycle Cost of Imported vs Domestic Products

Why Buying Cheap Imported Products Is More Expensive For Individuals And Not Just Society →

Four Waves of British Immigration to America

Roots: A Historical Understanding Of Climate Change Denial, Creationism And Slavery – 1629-1775 →

Platform Technology Adoption Timelines

The Fusion of Revolutionary Technologies: Unlocking Humanity's Greatest Transformation →

The True Cost of a "Cheap" Imported Product

Jobs: First, Get Rid Of Expensive Westerners. Second, Get Rid Of People Entirely →

Oil Price Volatility vs Proposed Price Floor

Establishing A Price Floor For Energy →

The Political Alignment Shift on Environmentalism

Green Is Not Red, But Blue: Environmentalism And The Mystery Of Right Wing Opposition →

The Faustian Bargain: 500 Years of Western Expansion and Retreat

Crisis: Or An Explanation On The Origins Of The Decline Of The West →

European Utility Share Prices: The Collapse

Big European Electricity Utilities Are Facing An Existential Crisis. How Did This Happen And What Should They Do? →

🌍 Part 1: Natural Resources

Energy, food, water, land — the physical foundations that every civilisation depends on.

All 11 →

⚖️ Part 2: Global Balance of Power

How nations rise, compete, and decline — from colonial empires to modern China.

All 15 →

⚙️ Part 3: Jobs & Economy

Automation, trade, debt, and the future of work in an age of intelligent machines.

All 13 →

🏛️ Part 4: Society

Democracy, religion, migration, identity — the human systems that bind us together.

All 28 →
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