Issue 13

January 2026

9 articles · 126 min total reading time
Society

The Empty Cradle Bargain: Why Falling Birth Rates Are Everyone's Problem

On a single street in a Western city, five families have one child and two have two. That is nine children where fifteen are needed. Some chose this. Some wanted children and ran o…

21 min read 7 charts Audio
Society

The Gates of Nations: How Every Civilisation in History Controlled Immigration — Until the West Stopped

For five thousand years, every successful civilisation tightly controlled who could enter, settle, and become a citizen. Then, in the space of a single generation, the West decided…

13 min read 5 charts Audio
Jobs & Economy

The Robot Bargain: How AI Will Save Ageing Nations From The Immigration Trap

Microsoft's AI chief predicts virtually all white-collar tasks will be automated within 18 months. South Korea's fertility rate is 0.72. Japan sells more adult nappies than baby na…

12 min read 1 chart Audio
Society

The Silence Of The Scribes: How Every Civilisation That Controlled Speech Collapsed

In February 2026, India ordered social media platforms to remove content within three hours of a government request. The EU's Digital Services Act empowers bureaucrats to police on…

10 min read 2 charts Audio
Global Balance of Power

The Scramble For The Solar System: Why The Next Colonial Race Has Already Begun

SpaceX is building Starship production lines at scale. China plans a permanent lunar base by 2030. NASA's Artemis programme aims to return Americans to the Moon. India, Japan, and…

11 min read 2 charts Audio
Society

Who Guards The Guards? Bureaucracy, Empire, And The Eternal Struggle To Control The State

Elon Musk's DOGE initiative has identified $215 billion in US government savings and aims for $2 trillion. The EU's regulatory apparatus grows by thousands of pages each year. Ever…

10 min read 2 charts Audio
Jobs & Economy

The Return of the State Factory: Why Nations That Forgot How To Make Things Are Remembering

In February 2026, the United States signed a trade deal with Taiwan that included $250 billion in semiconductor investment pledges. Tariffs are back. Industrial policy is back. Aft…

11 min read 2 charts Audio
Society

The Death Of The Fourth Estate: What The Collapse Of Newspapers Means For Democracy, Power, And Truth

On February 4th 2026, a Washington Post reporter in a warzone in Ukraine learned by text message that she had been laid off. Nearly half the newsroom was gone in a single day. This…

20 min read 5 charts Audio
Global Balance of Power

Europe Rearms: Why The Continent That Invented Total War Is Spending €800 Billion On Defence

In 1932, Germany spent less than 1% of GDP on its military. By 1939, that figure was 23%. The transformation took just seven years. Today, Europe is embarking on the fastest rearma…

18 min read 5 charts Audio
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By Tristan Fischer. A lifelong fascination with history, science, and technology led to a simple observation: the deeper you understand how the past unfolded, the more clearly you can see the future. These essays trace historical patterns and technological trajectories to work out what comes next.

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